3 (2019), 1, 1-14

Remote Sensing of Land

2582-3019

Landslide Hazard Zonation and Slope Instability Assessment using Optical and InSAR Data: A Case Study from Gidole Town and its Surrounding Areas Southern Ethiopia

Filagot Mengistu 1 , K. V. Suryabhagavan 1 , Tarun Kumar Raghuvanshi 1 , Elias Lewi 2

1.School of Earth Sciences, Addis Ababa University, P.O. Box 1176, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

2.Institute for Geophysics, Space Science and Astronomy, Addis Ababa University, P.O. Box 1176, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Dr.K. V. Suryabhagavan *

*.School of Earth Sciences, Addis Ababa University, P.O. Box 1176, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Dr.Suresh Kumar 1

1.Agriculture, Forestry & Ecology Group, Indian Institute of Remote Sensing, Dehra Dun -248001, Uttarakhand, India.

26-01-2019
17-12-2018
14-01-2019
16-01-2019

Graphical Abstract

Highlights

  1. Study deals with landslide hazard zonation and slope Instability assessment using radar and optical data.
  2. Bivariat statistical information value model was used for landslide hazard zonation.
  3. The results confirmed effectiveness of integrated bivariate statistical model and PSInSAR approach.
  4. The integrated approach is helpful in mitigation of landslides.

Abstract

The present study was carried out in and around Gidole Town in Southern Ethiopia which is about 580km from Addis Ababa. The main objective of the study was to prepare a landslide hazard zonation (LHZ) map by using Bivariat statistical information value model and to assess the slope instability in the area by using InSAR approach. For LHZ six causative factors such as; slope, land-use/land-cover, slope-material, elevation, aspect, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were considered. For the sub-classes of these causative factors weights were obtained from the information value model. The results showed that very high hazard zones and high hazard zones covers 6.63% (14.12 km2) and 15.36% (32.72 km2) of the area, respectively. Whereas, moderate hazard, low hazard and very low hazard zones covers 7.47% (15.9 km2), 34.2% (72.85 km2) and 36.34% (77.4 km2) of the area, respectively. Further, validation of the LHZ map showed that 92.3% of the past landslides fall in very high hazard and high hazard zones. Thus, the hazard zones delineated in the present study has reasonably validated with the past landslide data and the potential zones depicted in the prepared LHZ map can be applied for the safe planning of the area. Further, the results of the PS-InSAR processing indicates that the average downward displacement in the study area is gradually increasing from 15.3mm/yr (2014) to −19.2 mm/yr (2018) and the rate of displacement in general increases with increase in the average monthly precipitation at all selected persistence scattered points.

Keywords

Landslide , Information value model , Landslide hazard zonation , PS-InSAR , Remote Sensing

1 . INTRODUCTION

Landslides are considered as the major factor for mass wasting and landscape building in the mountainous terrains. Community living within mountainous environment may be at risk due to landslide disasters triggered by both man-made activities such as; road construction, mining and urbanization and the natural causes such as; extreme rainfall and earthquake (Martha et al., 2010). Landslide hazard is becoming serious environmental constraints for the developmental activities in the highlands of Ethiopia. Further, with the urbanization, rural development, and present development in infrastructure, it is believed that the magnitude and frequency of landslide hazard will increase in future (Abebe et al., 2010; Woldearegay, 2013; Hamza and Raghuvanshi, 2017). According to Abebe et al. (2010), the rate of landslides in highlands of Ethiopia has been increasing due to various factors such as; rugged morphology, high relative relief and the nature of out-cropping rocks. The main triggering factors responsible for these landslides are rainfall and human activities such as lack of systematic investigations, construction activities, especially roads which can be the cause of small or huge landslides, like in the case of the present study area. Landslide hazard assessment and susceptibility maps are essential for the strategic and regional planning for landslide hazard mitigation (Anbalagan, 1992; Raghuvanshi et al., 2014). Landslide hazard maps have greater value to development planning as they present a spatial division of the ground into areas of different level of potential landslide hazard zones and it provide the essential framework for land use planning and development of proper engineering practices (Anbalagan, 1992; Chimidi et al., 2017).

In recent times, high resolution satellite imageries are being used for landslide studies. These satellite imageries are IKONOS, SPOT-5, Worldview, Sentinel 1A, Sentinel 2A and Landsat 8 OLI. The availability of these new generation satellite data has helped in reducing revisit time and useful in visual interpretation for landslide detection (Van Westen et al., 2008). Image fusion and change detection are useful techniques which are facilitated by these high resolution satellite images in landslide studies (Nichol and Wong, 2005). Development of InSAR (Space-borne Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar) in recent times has further facilitated in surface deformation measurements and mapping of topographical features (Hanssen, 2001). Further, availability of satellite interferometric data in the form of operating satellites images (COSMO-SkyMed, TerraSAR-X) and the archives of historical data since 1990s (ENVISAT, ERS 1/2) can facilitate ground displacement analysis over observed scenes from past as well as from recent times (Bianchini et al., 2012). Moreover, archival SAR data can be analyzed by using PSInSAR to get velocities and deformation time series on grids of stable reflective point-wise targets. These are known as Persistent Scatterers (PS) and characterized as consistent electromagnetic behavior in all images (Ferretti et al., 2001). In order to study the surface deformations due to slow moving landslides InSAR has been found to be most suitable geodetic data (Rott et al.,1999). In many previous studies space-borne Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors data has been used to observe and monitor surface deformations (Ferretti et al., 2001; Guzzetti et al., 2009; Lauknes et al., 2010; Herrera et al.,2010, 2013; Tomás et al., 2012).

In the present study appropriate procedure and techniques were used to identify the landslide hazard zones. Besides, attempt was also made to assess the rate of deformation of the slopes by using InSAR technique. PS InSAR technique is useful in evaluating elements at risk and change in area over given period of time by landslides in an area. Such analysis may support in decision making for landslide mitigation and helps in implementation of strategies for disaster management in the affected areas. The present study was aimed to evaluate landslide hazard zones and to prepare a surface displacement map of the study area by using optical and radar satellite images.

2 . STUDY AREA

The study area selected for the present research falls in Dirashe District, Southeastern Ethiopia which is about 580km from Addis Ababa. The present study area is located close to the western margin of the main Ethiopian Rift Valley. The study area is defined by the coordinates 5º32ʹ30"-5º43ʹ30" N latitudes and 37º17ʹ 30"-37º31ʹ00" E longitudes and it covers a total area of 213km2 (Figure 1). The elevation of the study area, in general, ranges from 1104-2562m. The study area forms a part in the Southern Ethiopian plateau and is bounded by the Rift from the west. The highest monthly average precipitation recorded in the area is 198.4mm in the month of May. From March to September, the area receives high rainfall and from October to February it receives low rainfall. The area is covered by both rocks and unconsolidated soil deposits and is also associated with complex hydrogeological setup, thus with all such conditions the area becomes prone to landslide hazard. Most of the landslide activities initiated in the area during and after the construction of the asphalt road, which is passing through the Gidole Town.

Figure 1. Location map of the study area

 

3 . GEOLOGY

The study area mainly comprises of lithological formations such as; pyroclastic deposit, basal sandstone, basalt, biotite gneiss rock, colluvial deposit, alluvium sand and clay (Figure 2). The biotite gneiss present in the area are mainly exposed in the southern part and these rocks belongs to Precambrian age. As depicted from the progressive enrichment of felsic material in stratigraphic up direction, there is remarkable differentiation from basaltic to rhyolithic magma composition. The older outcropping rocks are fine-grained flood basalts belonging to Eocene-Oligocene age (GSE, 2005).

 

Figure 2. Geology

 

4 . METHODOLOGY

4.1 Data and Software

The data used for the landslide hazard zonation (LHZ) and slope instability assessment in the present study includes; a time series satellite data inputs such as Landsat 8, OLI 2017 imagery, acquired from the US Geological Survey National Centre For Earth Resources and the Sentinel 1A (2014-2018) images, acquired from European Space Agency (ESA). Besides, SRTM (30×30m resolution) and Topographic map (1:50,000) were also used to extract Digital Elevation Model (DEM) that facilitated derivation of slope, aspect and Elevation of the study area. Further, in order to validate the observations derived from the remotely sensed data, ground truth points were established at random locations. All the input datasets were geo-referenced to Adindan UTM Zone 37N coordinate system.

For the present study software that were used are; ERDAS imagine (2015) for image processing and image classification, ArcGIS 10.3 used for analysis and LHZ map preparation, eCognition Essential 9.1 used for landslide mapping, which was specifically created as a powerful instrument for object-oriented image analysis and Sentinel application platform (SNAP) for Sentinel-1A image extraction and re-sampling. Besides, ESA SNAP Desktop 5.0, StaMPS v3.3b1, Snaphu-v1.4.2 and MATLAB R2017a were also utilized for various purposes during the present study.

4.2 Information Value Model

In the present study, information values (IV) of causative factors was used to know the possibility of landslide occurrence. The information values were calculated for each subclass of the causative factor based on its presence in the past landslides map. Causative factor maps were combined with landslide map in order to get the weight for each class. For this, each of the causative factors map was overlaid on the past landslides map and landslide density were determined for various causative factor sub-classes. The positive information value suggests strong relation between the causative factor class and the landslide in the area (Yin and Yan, 1988). According to Yin and Yan (1988) weight can be mathematically obtained by using equations, 1 to 4.

\(Conditional \ probablity = {Number \ of \ landslide \ pixels \ with \ in \ factor \ class \over Number \ of \ factor \ class \ pixels}\)              (1)

\(Prior \ probablity = {Sum \ of \ landslide \ pixels \ of \ the \ whole \ study \ area \over Sum \ of \ pixels \ of \ the \ whole \ study \ area}\)            (2)

\(Weight \ of \ factor \ class = {Conditional \ priority \over Prior \ probability}\)           (3)

\(Information \ value \ (IV) = {log(Weight \ of \ factor \ class)}\)        (4)

Thus, the obtained Information values were assigned for each of the factor class to prepare the weighted causative factor maps. Later, these causative factor maps were processed by using the raster calculator to determine landslide susceptibility index (LSI) value for each pixel (equation 5):

\(LSI = VI_{Slope \ angle}+VI_{Elevation}+VI_{Aspect}+VI_{Slope \ material}+VI_{NDVI}+VI_{LULC}\)      (5)

where, LSI is the landslide susceptibility index, IV is information value, NDVI is Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and LULC is land-use and land-cover.

Finally, the landslide hazard zonation map was prepared based on the LSI values. The landslide hazard was classified into five classes such as very low hazard (VLH), low hazard (LH), moderate hazard (MH), high hazard (HH) and very high hazard zone (VHH).

4.3 Slope Instability Assessment

4.3.1 InSAR Time Series Analysis

Advanced InSAR methods; such as Persistent Scattered (PS) (Greif and Vlcko, 2012) and Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) (Lanari et al., 2007), can overcome objects from atmospheric noise, spatial and temporal baseline de-correlation. Besides, these methods may be helpful for time-series displacement analysis by utilizing a stack of SAR data set. For the present study PS technique was used for surface displacement time-series analysis at landslide affected areas. For long term deformation monitoring works, a special form of InSAR is used which known as Persistent Scatterer Interferometry Synthetic Aperture Radar (PS-InSAR). PS-InSAR is capable of finding objects in the area of the image that produces a constant and characteristic radar reflection over time in a stack of many radar images. The PS-InSAR technique was originally proposed by Ferretti et al. (2000) which is used to estimate the time series displacement of each of the detected PS pixels. Later, an improved method StaMPS by Hooper et al. (2007) was proposed which is find to be suitable of finding PS pixels in both urban and non-urban areas. Besides, it requires less number of interfrograms to map the surface displacement. Further, PS-InSAR is a multi-temporal differential InSAR technique, which can analyze long temporal stack of satellite SAR data. The technique provides mean velocity and time series of ground deformation on dense grids of point-wise targets, known as Persistent Scatterers (Ferretti et al., 2001). The PS-InSAR basically works by identifying image pixels in a stack of interfrograms that are generated with the same master that persistently backscatter the radar signal over a long time interval. The detailed schematic flow chart of the methodology followed in the present study is presented in Figure 3.

Figure 3. Methodology

 

5 . RESULTS

5.1 Landslide Inventory

Landslide inventory map of the study area was prepared from the field observations and the Google Earth image (2017) interpretation. In total 39 landslides of different types were recorded.  Out of these 37 (94.7%) landslides were found in the Western and Southern parts of the Arbaminch-Gidole-Konso road (Figure 4). These landslides were possibly triggered due to unplanned cutting of the slope sections along the road. The road construction has reactivated some of the old landslides and also it has triggered new landslides in the area. Further, overlay analysis was made between the landslide inventory map and each of the causative factor maps and information values (IV) were computed for respective sub classes of the considered causative factors.

 

Figure 4. Landslide inventory

 

5.2 Causative Factors Influence on Landslides

The environmental factors are the collection of data that are expected to have an effect on the occurrence of landslide, and can be utilized as causal factors in the prediction of future landslides (Raghuvanshi et al., 2014; Van Westen et al., 2008; Anbalagan, 1992). The thematic maps of the causative factors including slope angle, aspect and elevation were prepared from the SRTM DEM at 30m resolution. Slope material layer of the study area was extracted from the geological map of Ethiopia with the scale of 1:25,000 and through the field observations made during the present study. Further, land-use and land-cover and NDVI were prepared from the Landsat 8 OLI 2017 image. Later, all vector maps were transformed into raster data for further analysis. Details of various causative factors layers and the data source that was used to prepare these causative factor maps are presented in Table 1.

 

Table 1. Details of causative layers and data sources

Causative factors

Data

Data type

Data source

Landslide inventory

Google Earth and field observation

Polygon

Google Earth and field observation

Elevation

SRTM DEM

30 m grid

USGS

Slope angle

SRTM DEM

30 m grid

USGS

Aspect

SRTM DEM

30 m grid

USGS

NDVI and LULC

Landsat 8 OLI 2017 Image

30 m grid

USGS

Slope material

Geology map 1:25,000

Polygon

Geological Survey of Ethiopia

 

5.2.1 Slope Material

In the present study area, the main rock types which were identified are: basalt, pyroclastic deposit, basal sandstone and biotite gneiss rocks. The main soil types that are present includes: colluvial deposit and alluvium, sand and clay (Figure 5a). The overlay analysis between the past landslides and the slope material clearly shows that 50.2% landslides occurred in basalts, 14.8% in basal sandstone, 15.6% in colluvial deposits and 10.9% in pyroclastic deposits (Table 2). Further, as per information value (IV) computations colluvial deposit which is dominated in the western part of the study area show significant slope instability problems and have highest information value of 0.85. Further, basal sandstone and pyroclastic deposits also demonstrate a higher information value of 0.27 and 0.15, respectively.

 

Figure 5. Causative factor maps: (a) Slope material, (b) Slope, (c) Aspect, (d) Elevation, (e) Land-use/land-cover and (f) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index

 

Table 2. Information values for various classes of causative factors

Causative factor class

Factor class in Entire area

Factor class Within landslides

Conditional probability

Prior probability

Weight of factor class

Infor-mation value

 (IV)

Pixel count

Pixels %

Pixel count

Pixel

%

  1. Slope material

Pyroclastic deposit

18317

7.7

627

10.9

0.034

0.024

1.40

0.15

Basal sandstone

19304

8.2

856

14.8

0.044

0.024

1.85

0.27

Basalt

127546

53.9

2901

50.2

0.023

0.024

0.95

-0.02

Colluvial deposit

5254

2.2

903

15.6

0.172

0.024

7.16

0.85

Basaltic Gneiss rock

8627

3.6

47

0.8

0.005

0.024

0.23

-0.65

Alluvium, sand & clay

57595

24.3

440

7.6

0.008

0.024

0.32

-0.50

Total

236643

100.0

5773

100.0

       
  1. Slope

0−5o

51383

21.7

377

6.5

0.007

0.024

0.31

-0.51

5−12 o

98669

41.7

1784

30.9

0.018

0.024

0.75

-0.12

12−30 o

78732

33.3

3263

56.5

0.041

0.024

1.73

0.24

30−45 o

7529

3.2

348

6.0

0.046

0.024

1.93

0.28

>45 o

330

0.1

0

0.0

0.000

0.024

0.00

0.00

Total

236643

100.0

5773

100.0

       
  1. Aspect

Flat

92

0.0

0

0.0

0.000

0.024

0.00

0.00

North

16378

6.9

480

8.3

0.029

0.024

1.22

0.09

North East

41952

17.7

1146

19.8

0.027

0.024

1.14

0.06

North West

18719

7.9

270

4.7

0.014

0.024

0.60

-0.22

South

28507

12.0

860

14.9

0.030

0.024

1.26

0.10

South East

38694

16.4

725

12.6

0.019

0.024

0.78

-0.11

South West

23247

9.8

875

15.2

0.038

0.024

1.57

0.20

West

21352

9.0

420

7.3

0.020

0.024

0.82

-0.09

East

47703

20.2

996

17.2

0.021

0.024

0.87

-0.06

Total

236643

100.0

5773

100.0

       
  1. Elevation

1104−1308 (m)

68251

28.8

0

0.0

0.000

0.024

0.00

0.00

1308−1529 (m)

70886

30.0

47

0.8

0.001

0.024

0.03

-1.56

1529−1815 (m)

47284

20.0

2349

40.7

0.050

0.024

2.07

0.32

1815−2150 (m)

26972

11.4

3377

58.5

0.125

0.024

5.22

0.72

2150−2562 (m)

23249

9.8

0

0.0

0.000

0.024

0.00

0.00

Total

236643

100.0

5773

100.0

       
  1. Land use and land cover

Forest

50686

21.4

627

10.9

0.012

0.024

0.52

-0.29

Built-up area

55454

23.4

848

14.7

0.015

0.024

0.64

-0.20

Bare land

25318

10.7

795

13.8

0.031

0.024

1.31

0.12

Agricultural land

86850

36.7

2997

51.9

0.035

0.024

1.44

0.16

Bush land

18335

7.7

506

8.8

0.028

0.024

1.15

0.06

Total

236643

100.0

5773

100.0

       
  1. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index

0.02−0.18

33325

14.1

1123

19.5

0.034

0.024

1.40

0.15

0.18−0.27

34715

14.7

1146

19.9

0.033

0.024

1.38

0.14

0.27−0.37

32133

13.6

1538

26.6

0.048

0.024

1.99

0.30

0.37−0.51

69916

29.5

1547

26.8

0.022

0.024

0.92

-0.04

0.51−0.77

66554

28.1

419

7.3

0.006

0.024

0.26

-0.58

Total

236643

100.0

5773

100.0

       
 

 

5.2.2 Slope

The slope is considered as to be an important factor for landslide occurrence (Anbalagan, 1992; Raghuvanshi et al., 2014). The study area was classified into five slope classes: 0-5º (21.7% of the study area), 5-12º (41.7%), 12-30º (33.3%), 30-45º (3.2%) and >45º (0.1%) (Figure 5b). The overlay analysis revealed that 56.5% of the landslides occurred in slope class 12-30º and 30.9% of landslides occurred in slope class 5-12º. Further, slope classes 0-5º, 30-45º and >45º showed 6.5%, 6% and no landslides, respectively. The slope classes, 12-30º and 30-45º show highest probability of landslide occurrence with information values of 0.24 and 0.28, respectively (Table 2). The positive information values of the factor class indicates higher probability of landslide occurrence within a respective causative factor class. Further, slope classes 0-5º, 5-12º and >45º show low probability for the landslide occurrence as the computed information values (IV) for these classes are -0.51, -0.12 and 0, respectively (Table 2).

5.2.3 Aspect

Slope aspect in the present study area has also played an equally important role in landslide occurrence. The overlay analysis showed that 19.8% landslides occurred in slopes that are oriented towards Northeast, 17.2% occurred in slopes that are oriented towards East, 15.2% occurred in slopes that are oriented towards Southwest, 14.9% occurred in slopes that are oriented towards south and 12.6% occurred in slopes that are oriented towards Southeast direction (Table 2, Figure 5c). Further, based on the information value (IV) it can be noticed that slopes that are oriented towards Southwest, South, North and Northeast have higher probability of landslide occurrence as the information values for these classes are 0.20, 0.10, 0.09 and 0.6, respectively.

5.2.4 Elevation

Landslides have a strong correlation with the elevation (Chimidi et al., 2017; Hamza and Raghuvanshi, 2017). The elevation were classified into five classes viz., 1104-1308m, 1308-1529 m, 1529-1815 m, 1815-2150 m and 2150-2562 m (Figure 5d). Further, overlay analysis clearly showed that 58.5% of landslide occurred in elevation class 1815-2150 m whereas, 40.7% landslides occurred in elevation class 1529-1815 m. The remaining 0.8% landslides occurred in elevation class 1308-1529 m (Table 2). No landslides were observed in elevation classes 1104-1308 m and 2150-2562 m. Based on the Information value (IV) it can be noticed that elevation classes 1815-2150 m and 1529-1815 m shows higher probability for landslide occurrence as the information value (IV) for these classes are 0.72 and 0.32, respectively (Table 2).

5.2.5 Land-use and Land-cover

The land-use and land-cover has significant influence on the landslide occurrence. The areas which have good vegetation cover are relatively stable whereas improper land-use practices may induce slope instability (Anbalagan, 1992). The area was classified into five categories viz., forest, built-up area, bare land, agricultural land and bush/shrub land. From the overlay analysis it was found that 51.9% landslides occurred in agricultural land, 14.7% in built-up area, 13.8% in bare land, 10.9% in forest land and 8.8% in bush land (Table 2, Figure 5e). The higher concentration of landslides in agricultural land (51.9%) in the present study area is related to un-planned irrigation practices and the presence of unconsolidated unstable colluvial and alluvial soils on gentle slopes. The colluvial and alluvial soils possess low shear strength and are susceptible to instability when they are saturated (Raghuvanshi et al., 2014; Hamza and Raghuvanshi, 2017). Further, information value of 0.16 also suggests that agricultural land in the study area show higher probability for landslide occurrence. Also, bare land and bush land are more susceptible for slope instability as the Information values for these classes are 0.12 and 0.06, respectively (Table 2).  Further, forest and built-up area with Information values -0.29 and -0.2, respectively show less probability for landslide occurrence.

5.2.6 Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)

Vegetation in general improves the stability of the slope (Anbalagan, 1992; Raghuvanshi et al., 2014). The NDVI value in general reflects the vegetation coverage in the area. Higher NDVI values indicate dense green vegetation which is resulted due to low reflectance in red band due to high chlorophyll. In contrast, sparse vegetation results into low NDVI due to less chlorophyll (Rouse, 1974). For the present study NDVI was determined from Landsat 8 OLI image acquired in 2017. Thus, by using data for multispectral sensor working in the visible and NIR region of the electromagnetic spectrum, NDVI was calculated. The results (Table 2) clearly indicates that higher information values (IV) (0.14 to 0.30) are distributed for NDVI classes falling between 0.02 to 0.37, which generally corresponds to built-up area, agricultural land and shrub/bush lands (Figure 5f). From Information values (IV) it may be realized that as the NDVI value become higher (>0.37), probability of occurrence of landslide is lower. From this it can be realized that as the NDVI increase the Information value (IV) in general decreases and the probability of landslide occurrence decreases. However, in the present study the relation between the past landslide occurrence and NDVI do not show dominance of any particular NDVI class. In fact past landslides are fairly distributed in all NDVI classes, except NDVI class 0.51-0.77 where relatively fewer landslides (7.3%) were observed.

5.3 Landslide Hazard Evaluation and Zonation

In the present study, main factors that are possibly responsible for landslide occurrence are slope material, slope angle, aspects, elevation, land-use and land-cover and NDVI. It is believed that combination of various factor classes might have resulted into landslide in the area. The evaluation of these factors based on statistical correlation with the past landslides formed the basis to delineate the study area into various landslide potential classes. Therefore, for the landslide hazard evaluation spatial relationship between the occurrence of landslides and each landslide causative factor class was derived. The distributions of landslide occurrence over each factor maps have been obtained using the information value (IV) model. The information values are assigned to each class to obtain weighted factor map. Each factor maps were summed up by using raster calculator to calculate the landslide susceptibility index (LSI) for each pixel.

The relation analysis is the information value of the area where landslides occurred to the total area, if the value is higher relative to other classes, it shows a higher correlation; if lower, it indicates a lower correlation. The least LSI value obtained for the study area is -2.37 and the maximum being 1.26. Based on the LSI distribution the landslide hazard in the present study area was divided in to five classes; very high hazard (VHH), high hazard (HH), moderate hazard (MHH), low hazard (LH) and very low hazard (VLH) zone. Further, on trial basis LSI values were distributed into different hazard classes and landslide hazard zonation (LHZ) map was prepared. For each of such attempt the prepared LHZ map was validated with the past landslide data. Thus, the best hazard zonation classes obtained by this procedure are presented in Table 3 and the LHZ map thus prepared is presented in figure 6.

 

Figure 6. Landslide hazard zones

 

Table 3. Landslide hazard zonation classes based on landslide hazard susceptibility index

Landslide hazard zone

LSI

value range

Landslide hazard class coverage

Past landslide coverage

Pixel count

Area

(%)

Area

(km2)

Pixel count

Area

(%)

Very high

1.26 −0.64

15691

6.63

14.12

3404

58.97

High

0.64 −0.13

36351

15.36

32.72

1924

33.33

Moderate

0.13 –0

17669

7.47

15.9

296

5.12

Low

0 − (-0.26)

80940

34.2

72.85

149

2.58

Very low

-0.26 − (-2.37)

85992

36.34

77.4

0

0

 

 

A perusal of LHZ map (Figure 6) clearly shows that the majority of the study area 77.40km2 (36.34%) fall within very low hazard (VLH) zone and 72.85km2 (34.2%) of the area fall within low hazard (LH) zone. Perusal of results further showed that 14.12 km2 (6.63%), 32.72 km2 (15.36%) and 15.9 km2 (7.74%) of the area falls into very high hazard (VHH), high hazard (HH) and moderate hazard (MH), respectively.

5.4 Landslide Hazard Zonation Model Validation

In order to check the validity of LHZ map, an overlay analysis was performed between the LHZ map and the past landslide inventory map. The results revealed that 3404 pixels (58.97%) falls in the very high hazard (VHH) zone, 1924 pixels (33.33%) in the high hazard (HH) zone, 296 pixels (5.12%)  in the moderate hazard (MH) zone and 149 pixels (2.58%) in the low hazard (LH) zone (Table 3, Figure 6). This shows that 92.3% of the past landslides fall in the very high hazard (VHH) and high hazard (VHH) zones of the prepared LHZ map. Thus, it can be concluded that the hazard zones delineated in the present study has reasonably validated with the past landslide data and the potential zone depicted can safely be applied for the safe planning of the area. 

5.5 Slope Instability Assessment

PS-InSAR processing by using six single master interfrograms has showed a total of 165,263 PS candidates that are based on the Dispersion Amplitude Index value.  The displacement as observed in the study area has gradually increased starting from 15.3 mm/yr to -19.2 mm/yr shown in (Figure 7). The displacement phase, as derived from the interfrograms is a measure of surface displacement with respect to the satellite’s Line of Sight (LOS). The results are represented in terms of a vertical displacement that is basically a projection of a LOS displacement with respect to the vertical axis. Negative displacement indicates that the land surface is moving away from the LOS of a satellite whereas the positive sign indicate that the area is moving toward the LOS of a satellite.

 

Figure 7. Mean displacement velocity during 2014-2018

 

To better illustrate the time evolution of a surface displacement, four points were selected on the landslide inventory map and later their respective time series were plotted (Figure 7). These points were located in the Western, Southern and the Central parts of the study area. The line-of-site displacement of selected PS points (A, B, C, D) during the years 2014−2018 is shown in (Figure 8). The line-of-sight displacement time series in general, indicates the downward movement and the magnitude of this movement ranges from 15.3 mm/yr to −19.2 mm/yr (2014-2018). Later, dynamics of the observed movement was further differentiated with respect to the area being affected by the landslides.

The result of LOS displacement over the time period, 2014-2018 has indicated that the area covered by the landslides in the study area has increased considerably. Further, the time series plot for four selected points (A, B, C and D) (Figure 8) shows a typical trend in LOS displacement. The line-of-sight displacement at all four points showed change in direction of movement to positive trend starting from February 13, 2015 to March 09, 2015. The uplift rate is about 8-19 mm/yrs at all selected persistence scattered points. This change in the direction of movement may possibly be related to the increase in the ground water table. However, from mid of March, 2015 the line-of-sight displacement showed negative trend and the rate of displacement has increased considerably. Further, attempt was made to correlate the line-of-sight displacement with the average monthly precipitation of the area. The results clearly showed that the observed signals do correlate with the average monthly precipitation. The rate of displacement in general increases with increase in the average monthly precipitation at all the selected persistence scattered points.

 

Figure 8. Line-of-sight displacement time series of the selected PS points (A, B, C and D) during 2014-2018

 

6 . DISCUSSION

Landslides, in general are considered to be the most widespread and damaging events. Landslides result in loss of life and property, damage to natural resources such as vegetation, land, soil and they in general, hamper the development and performance of projects such as; bridges, roads and communication lines (Chimidi et al., 2017; Hamza and Raghuvanshi, 2017; Raghuvanshi et al., 2015). The inventory data collected during the present study has showed that majority of the landslides in the study area has occurred in basalts, followed by basal sandstone, colluvial and pyroclastic deposits. Most of these landslides occurred along the Arbaminch-Gidole-Konso road in the central part of the study area. The unplanned slope cutting along the road side has possibly triggered the landslides and also some of the old landslides were reactivated. Further, the information value showed that colluvial deposits, basal sandstone and pyroclastic deposits are susceptible for landslides.

The slope angle is considered as an important factor in inducing instability to the slope (Haeri and Samiei, 1996; Raghuvanshi et al., 2015). It was found that about 87% of the past landslides in the study area have occurred in the slope classes 5-12º and 12-30º. Also, the information values (IV) showed that slope classes 12-30º and 30-45º are more susceptible for instability.The possible reason for the dominance of the past landslides in 5-12º and 12-30º slope classes is related to the poor characteristics of the slope material within these slope classes. The slope materials, which predominantly occupy these slope classes, are weathered basalt, colluvial and pyroclastic deposit. Such slope materials are highly disintegrated and have poor shear strength, high porosity and are relatively more permeable (Raghuvanshi et al., 2015). Thus, slopes which are formed by weakly consolidated masses are more susceptible for instability (Shadfar et al., 2005).

Majority of the landslides in the study area have occurred in the slopes that are oriented towards south-west, South and Southeast directions. Further, based on the IV it is found that slopes that are oriented towards Southwest, South, North and Northeast are susceptible for instability. This may be possibly related to the hydro-geological factor and the presence of disintegrated slope material. Further, it is a known fact that the aspect of the slopes control microclimatic factors such as dry and wet conditions prevailed on the slopes, rainfall intensity and the general exposure of the slope to the sun shine. These factors may ultimately affect the properties of the slope material (Cevik and Topal, 2003).

Elevation has an important influence on the occurrence of the landslide (Ahmed 2009; Girma et al., 2015; Raghuvanshi et al., 2015). In the present study area landslides are more dominant in the elevation class 1815-2150m. Apart from influence of other causative factors, one major reason for dominance of landslides in this elevation range is related to the fact that much of the slopes in this elevation class are occupied by agricultural land. Results of the present study also showed that highest numbers of past landslides in the area were recorded within agricultural land. Based on the IV, it can be noticed that elevation classes 1815-2150 m and 1529-1815 m shows higher probability for landslide occurrence. The agricultural lands in the study area are generally located on the gentle slopes and are mostly occupied by the colluvial material. Poor irrigation and frequent plowing practices makes such colluvial material loose and saturated, which reduces the shear strength considerably (Raghuvanshi et al., 2015). Thus, such material becomes more prone for instability. The relation of NDVI with past landslides does not show any significant dominance of any particular NDVI class. In general, past landslides are more or less distributed in all NDVI classes, except NDVI class 0.51-0.77 where relatively fewer landslides were observed.

A perusal of LHZ map (Figure 6) clearly shows that about 14.12km2 (6.63%) of the area falls into very high hazard (VHH) and 32.72km2 (15.36%) of the area falls into high hazard (HH) zone. The VHH and HH zones are mainly dominated in the Central, Central Western, Southwestern and Northwestern parts of the study area. The VHH and HH zones are mainly occupied by the elevation class 1815-2150m, slopes that are inclined between 5 to 30º and slopes that are oriented towards South, Southeast and Southwest directions. Further, 15.9km2 (7.74%) of the area, falls into moderate hazard (MH) zone. The MH zones are scattered in the Central, Central Western, Southwestern and Northwestern parts of the study area. This zone is occupied mainly by 1529 - 1815m elevation class. The slopes which demonstrate MH zones are inclined at gentle and moderately steep slope angles and in general are oriented towards the South and Southwest directions. The MH zone mainly comprises of disintegrated weathered basalt, sandstone, pyroclastic materials and colluviums deposits. Further, majority of the study area 77.40km2 (36.34%) fall within very low hazard (VLH) zone and 72.85km2 (34.2%) of the area fall within low hazard (LH) zone. These zones are dominated in Northern, Eastern, Southern and the Southeastern parts of the study area. The VLH and LH zones are found in slopes that are mainly occupied by alluvium sand and clay, disintegrated basalts and sandstones. The slopes within these zones are gentle which fall within an elevation range of 1104-1529 m and are mostly covered by agricultural land.

In this study, PS-InSAR was applied to Sentinel 1A SLC data to assess the surface instability in the study area. The result in general indicates instability of the study area. The line-of-sight displacement time series indicates the downward movement and the magnitude of this movement ranges from 15.3 mm/yr to -19.2 mm/yr (2014-2018). The area is sparsely populated, thus, the landslides do not pose major threat to human life and animals. However, Kubaya and Wolayite villages are partly surrounded by potentially dangerous landslides, which can affect the infrastructure, agricultural land and may cause primarily material damage. The current instability of Gidole landslide might have resulted from a combined effect of unstable slope material, steep slope excavation during road construction, high precipitation rate and relatively high relative relief.

7 . CONCLUSION

Landslide hazard zonation provides fundamental information for hazard assessment and monitoring strategies. In mountainous area like Gidole, landslide hazard assessment based on direct field investigation is expensive and virtually impossible within a short period of time. Remote sensing techniques provide powerful alternative for detecting, identifying and monitoring of landslides and their related factors. The present study showed that slopes comprised of colluvial deposits, basal sandstone and pyroclastic deposits are susceptible for landslides. The slopes which are inclined at angles 5-30º are susceptible for instability as they are occupied by weathered basalt, colluvial and pyroclastic deposits that possess poor characteristics. Further, slopes that are oriented towards Southwest, South, North and Northwest are susceptible for instability. Also, elevation classes 1815-2150m and 1529-1815m showed higher probability for landslide occurrence. In the present study area landslides were more dominated in the elevation class 1815-2150m. The landslide hazard zonation (LHZ) results showed that 14.12km2 (6.63%) of the area falls into very high hazard (VHH) zone whereas, 32.72km2 (15.36%) of the area falls into high hazard (HH) zone. Further, about 15.9km2 (7.74%) area falls into moderate hazard (MH) zone. Majority of the study area 77.40km2 (36.34%) falls within very low hazard (VLH) zone and 72.85km2 (34.2%) of the area fall within low hazard (LH) zone. Further, LHZ map showed 92.3% validation with the past landslide data. Thus, it can safely be concluded that the governing factors considered and the methodology followed during the present study has produced a LHZ map which can safely be applied for planning purpose. The PS-InSAR approach followed in the present study may be helpful in monitoring surface deformation and movements of existing landslides along the road that may be a useful tool for long term sustainable planning and development in the area.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Acknowledgements

We wish to thank head and staff of the School of Earth Sciences, College of Natural and Computational Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, for providing all kinds of support and facilities for the present research. The authors gratefully acknowledge the anonymous reviewers for constructive comments and suggestions.

Abbreviations

DEM: Digital Elevation Model; ESA: European Space Agency; InSAR: Interferometry Synthetic Aperture Radar; IV: Information Value; LHZ: Landslide Hazard Zonation; LOS: Line of Sight; LULC: Land-use and Land-cover; NDVI: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index; OLI: Operational Land Imagery; PS: Persistence Scattered; PS-InSAR: Persistence Scattered- Interferometry Synthetic Aperture Radar; SRTM: Shuttle Radar Topography Mission.

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